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438 lines
16 KiB
Markdown
438 lines
16 KiB
Markdown
# 量化因子引擎 + 组合管理 — 设计文档
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> **日期**: 2026-06-12
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> **版本**: v1.0
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> **范围**: 方案 A(因子引擎优先),后续接方案 B(高级回测增强)
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> **目标市场**: 纯 A 股(主板 + 创业板 + 科创板)
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## 1. 背景与目标
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easy-tdx 已具备完整的市场数据接入、32+ 技术指标、缠论分析、向量回测引擎和离线扫描能力。本设计在现有基础上新增 **因子研究基础设施** 和 **组合管理系统**,补齐从「策略想法」到「组合执行」的关键链路。
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**核心目标**:
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- 让任何人写一个 Python 类就能产出可注册、可分析、可组合的因子
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- 提供因子有效性评估的完整分析管道(IC / 分层 / 衰减)
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- 支持从因子信号到组合权重的闭环(优化器 → 再平衡 → 绩效)
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## 2. 模块总览
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```
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src/easy_tdx/
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├── factor/ # 新增:因子研究与因子库
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│ ├── __init__.py # 公开 API
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│ ├── base.py # Factor 基类、注册表
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│ ├── engine.py # FactorEngine(单股 + 截面批量计算)
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│ ├── analysis.py # FactorAnalyzer(IC/分层/衰减分析)
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│ ├── transform.py # 预处理(去极值/标准化/正交化)
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│ └── builtin/ # 内置因子(6 大类 15-20 个)
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│ ├── __init__.py # 自动导入触发注册
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│ ├── momentum.py # 动量类
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│ ├── volatility.py # 波动率类
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│ ├── quality.py # 质量类
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│ ├── volume.py # 成交量类
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│ ├── technical.py # 技术指标因子(桥接 MyTT)
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│ ├── chanlun.py # 缠论因子(桥接 chanlun 模块)
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│ └── value.py # 价值因子(可选,依赖财务数据)
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├── portfolio/ # 新增:组合管理
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│ ├── __init__.py # 公开 API
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│ ├── optimizer.py # 权重优化器(等权/因子加权/风险平价/均值方差)
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│ ├── risk.py # 风险模型(协方差估计/组合风险分解)
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│ ├── rebalance.py # 再平衡引擎(多期调仓回测)
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│ └── types.py # PortfolioState / RebalanceResult
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```
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### 依赖关系
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```
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MyTT 指标库 ──┐ (已有)
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chanlun 模块 ─┤
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▼ 桥接
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factor/base ─── factor/engine
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│
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┌─────────┼──────────┐
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▼ ▼ ▼
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builtin/ transform analysis
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│ │ │
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└─────────┼──────────┘
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▼
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portfolio/
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│
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▼
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backtest/(方案 B,后续增强)
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```
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## 3. 因子引擎(factor/)
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### 3.1 核心抽象层(factor/base.py)
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```python
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class Factor(ABC):
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"""因子基类 — 所有因子的抽象契约。"""
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name: str # 唯一标识,如 "momentum_20d"
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category: str # 分类:momentum / value / quality / volatility / technical / chanlun
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description: str # 人类可读描述
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inputs: tuple[str, ...] # 需要的列:("close", "vol") 等
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@abstractmethod
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def compute(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series:
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"""接收 OHLCV DataFrame,返回因子值序列(与 df 等长)。"""
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...
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```
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**注册机制**(与 `indicator.py` 的 `_REGISTRY` 模式一致):
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```python
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FACTORY_REGISTRY: dict[str, type[Factor]] = {}
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def register_factor(cls: type[Factor]) -> type[Factor]:
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"""类装饰器,自动注册到全局表。"""
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FACTORY_REGISTRY[cls.name] = cls
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return cls
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```
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**用户自定义因子**:
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```python
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@register_factor
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class MyMomentum(Factor):
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name = "my_momentum"
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category = "momentum"
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description = "自定义动量因子"
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inputs = ("close",)
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def compute(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series:
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return df["close"].pct_change(10)
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```
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### 3.2 因子计算引擎(factor/engine.py)
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```python
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class FactorEngine:
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"""批量因子计算引擎。"""
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def compute_single(
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self,
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df: pd.DataFrame,
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factors: list[str | Factor],
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) -> pd.DataFrame:
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"""单股票多因子计算 → 返回原 DataFrame + 因子列。"""
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...
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def compute_cross_section(
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self,
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data: dict[str, pd.DataFrame], # {code: ohlcv}
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factors: list[str | Factor],
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date: int | None = None, # None = 最新日期
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) -> pd.DataFrame:
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"""多股票截面计算 → 返回长格式 DataFrame。
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输出 columns=[date, code, factor_1, factor_2, ...]。
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与 FactorAnalyzer 和 preprocess() 的输入格式完全对齐。
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"""
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...
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def compute_forward_returns(
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self,
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data: dict[str, pd.DataFrame],
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period: int = 5,
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) -> pd.DataFrame:
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"""计算远期收益率 → 返回 columns=[date, code, forward_{period}d]。"""
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...
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```
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**与现有模块桥接**:
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- **MyTT → 因子**:`TechnicalFactor` 包装器,将已注册的 `IndicatorSpec` 自动转为 `Factor`
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- **缠论 → 因子**:`ChanlunFactor` 将买卖点、笔方向、背驰状态编码为数值因子
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- **回测引擎**:`BacktestEngine` 新增 `factors=` 参数,计算结果自动注入 `StrategyDataProxy`
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### 3.3 内置因子库(factor/builtin/)
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第一版交付 **6 大类 15-20 个因子**:
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| 类别 | 因子名 | 计算逻辑 | 数据需求 |
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|------|--------|----------|----------|
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| **动量** | `momentum_20d` | 20 日收益率 | close |
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| | `momentum_60d` | 60 日收益率 | close |
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| | `reversal_5d` | 5 日反转(负收益率) | close |
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| **波动率** | `volatility_20d` | 20 日收益率标准差 | close |
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| | `atr_14d` | 14 日平均真实波幅 | high, low, close |
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| | `turnover_rate` | 换手率代理 | amount, close |
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| **质量** | `sharpe_20d` | 20 日收益/波动比 | close |
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| | `max_drawdown_20d` | 20 日最大回撤 | close |
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| | `win_rate_20d` | 20 日上涨天数占比 | close |
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| **成交量** | `obv_trend` | OBV 的 20 日斜率 | close, vol |
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| | `vol_surge` | 当日量比(当日 / 20日均量) | vol |
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| | `amount_ma_ratio` | 成交额 MA5/MA20 比值 | amount |
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| **技术形态** | `macd_hist_signal` | MACD 柱状线符号 + 趋势 | close |
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| | `rsi_14` | RSI(14) 归一化到 [-1, 1] | close |
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| | `boll_position` | 价格在布林带中的位置 (0-1) | close |
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| **缠论** | `chanlun_bi_dir` | 当前笔方向(+1/-1) | OHLCV |
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| | `chanlun_mmd` | 最近买卖点类型(编码值) | OHLCV |
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| **价值(可选)** | `pe_ratio` | 市盈率 | close + 财务数据 |
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| | `pb_ratio` | 市净率 | close + 财务数据 |
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**设计要点**:
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- 纯 numpy 向量化,不依赖网络
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- 每个因子类约 5-15 行实现
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- `technical.py` 桥接 `indicator.py`,`chanlun.py` 桥接 `ChanlunAnalyser`,不重复实现
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- 价值因子标记为可选,第一版可能只有接口占位
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### 3.4 因子分析(factor/analysis.py)
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```python
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@dataclass
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class FactorReport:
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"""单因子分析报告。"""
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name: str
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ic_mean: float # 均值 IC
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ic_std: float # IC 标准差
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ir: float # 信息比率 = ic_mean / ic_std
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ic_positive_rate: float # IC > 0 的占比
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quantile_returns: dict[str, float] # {"q1": 0.01, "q2": 0.02, ..., "q5": 0.05}
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top_minus_bottom: float # 多空收益(Q5 - Q1)
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turnover_rate: float # 因子换手率
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autocorr: float # 自相关系数
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ic_series: pd.Series # 逐期 IC 序列
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```
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```python
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class FactorAnalyzer:
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"""因子有效性分析引擎。"""
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def __init__(
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self,
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factor_data: pd.DataFrame, # columns: [date, code, factor_value]
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return_data: pd.DataFrame, # columns: [date, code, forward_return]
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n_quantiles: int = 5,
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): ...
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def compute_ic(self, method: str = "spearman") -> pd.Series: ...
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def compute_quantile_returns(self) -> pd.DataFrame: ...
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def compute_turnover(self) -> float: ...
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def compute_decay(self, max_lag: int = 10) -> pd.DataFrame: ...
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def full_report(self) -> FactorReport: ...
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```
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**输入格式**:长格式 DataFrame(`FactorEngine.compute_cross_section()` 的输出直接对接)。
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- `factor_data`: columns=[date, code, factor_value_1, factor_value_2, ...]
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- `return_data`: columns=[date, code, forward_5d](由 `FactorEngine.compute_forward_returns()` 生成)
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### 3.5 因子预处理(factor/transform.py)
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所有函数均为纯函数(输入 DataFrame → 输出 DataFrame),可自由组合。
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| 函数 | 用途 | 核心参数 |
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|------|------|----------|
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| `winsorize()` | 截面去极值 | method: "mad" / "percentile" / "sigma" |
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| `zscore()` | 截面/时序标准化 | cross_section: bool |
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| `rank_normalize()` | 排名归一化 [0, 1] | — |
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| `fill_missing()` | 缺失值填充 | method: "industry_mean" / "cross_mean" / "forward_fill" |
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| `orthogonalize()` | 因子正交化(回归残差) | target, by |
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| `preprocess()` | 一键管道 | steps: ["winsorize", "zscore", "fill_missing"] |
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**关键设计**:
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- MAD 去极值对 A 股偏态分布更稳健,作为默认方法
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- 正交化用纯 numpy 线性回归,不引入 sklearn
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- 行业填充第一版 fallback 到全市场均值,后续加 SW 行业分类
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## 4. 组合管理(portfolio/)
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### 4.1 数据结构(portfolio/types.py)
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```python
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@dataclass
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class PortfolioState:
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"""组合状态快照。"""
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date: int
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weights: dict[str, float] # {code: weight}
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holdings: dict[str, float] # {code: shares}
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cash: float
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total_value: float
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positions_count: int
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@dataclass
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class RebalanceResult:
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"""再平衡结果。"""
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rebalance_dates: list[int]
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states: list[PortfolioState]
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trades: pd.DataFrame
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equity_curve: pd.DataFrame
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performance: dict[str, float] # 复用 PerformanceAnalyzer
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```
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### 4.2 权重优化器(portfolio/optimizer.py)
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| 优化器 | 算法 | 依赖 | 适用场景 |
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|--------|------|------|----------|
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| `EqualWeightOptimizer` | 取 top-N 等权 | numpy | 基准 |
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| `FactorWeightedOptimizer` | 按因子得分加权 | numpy | 单因子选股 |
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| `RiskParityOptimizer` | 风险平价(迭代法) | numpy | 波动率差异大 |
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| `MeanVarianceOptimizer` | Markowitz 模型 | scipy(可选) | 追求最优配置 |
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注册机制:`@register_optimizer("name")`,通过名称查找。
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**scipy 可选降级**:`MeanVarianceOptimizer` 在 scipy 缺失时降级为等权,不报错。
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### 4.3 风险模型(portfolio/risk.py)
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```python
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class RiskModel:
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"""简化风险模型 — A 股够用。"""
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def estimate_covariance(
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self,
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returns: pd.DataFrame,
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method: str = "shrinkage", # Ledoit-Wolf 收缩估计
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shrinkage_intensity: float = 0.5,
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window: int = 60,
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) -> pd.DataFrame: ...
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def portfolio_risk(
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self,
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weights: dict[str, float],
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cov_matrix: pd.DataFrame,
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) -> dict[str, float]:
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"""返回 total_volatility / marginal_risk / risk_contribution。"""
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...
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```
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**不做完整 Barra**——提供个股波动率、收缩协方差矩阵、组合风险分解三个核心功能。
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### 4.4 再平衡引擎(portfolio/rebalance.py)
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```python
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class RebalanceEngine:
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"""多期调仓回测引擎。
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管道:FactorEngine → 截面得分 → Optimizer → 目标权重 → 交易成本 → 持仓跟踪
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"""
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def __init__(
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self,
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optimizer: WeightOptimizer,
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factor_name: str,
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n_stocks: int = 50,
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rebalance_freq: str = "M", # W / M / Q
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commission: float = 0.0003,
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slippage: float = 0.001,
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cash: float = 1_000_000,
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): ...
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def run(
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self,
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data: dict[str, pd.DataFrame],
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start_date: int,
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end_date: int,
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) -> RebalanceResult: ...
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```
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## 5. 依赖策略
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### 核心依赖(无新增)
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因子引擎的核心功能只依赖 numpy + pandas,已是 easy-tdx 的核心依赖。
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### 可选依赖
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```toml
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[project.optional-dependencies]
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factor = ["scipy>=1.10"] # MeanVariance 优化器 + 协方差收缩估计
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```
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scipy 缺失时:`MeanVarianceOptimizer` 降级为等权,`RiskModel.estimate_covariance` 的 shrinkage 方法降级为样本协方差。
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**不引入**:cvxpy、sklearn、statsmodels。
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## 6. 公开 API
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```python
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# factor/__init__.py
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from easy_tdx.factor.base import Factor, register_factor, FACTORY_REGISTRY
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from easy_tdx.factor.engine import FactorEngine
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from easy_tdx.factor.analysis import FactorAnalyzer, FactorReport
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from easy_tdx.factor.transform import preprocess, winsorize, zscore, rank_normalize
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from easy_tdx.factor.builtin import list_factors, get_factor
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# portfolio/__init__.py
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from easy_tdx.portfolio.optimizer import (
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WeightOptimizer, EqualWeightOptimizer, FactorWeightedOptimizer,
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RiskParityOptimizer, MeanVarianceOptimizer,
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)
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from easy_tdx.portfolio.rebalance import RebalanceEngine
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from easy_tdx.portfolio.risk import RiskModel
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```
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## 7. 使用示例
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```python
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# ── 单因子研究 ──
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from easy_tdx import TdxClient
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from easy_tdx.factor import FactorEngine, FactorAnalyzer, preprocess
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client = TdxClient()
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data = {c: client.get_klines("SZ", c, "DAY") for c in ["000001", "000002", "600036"]}
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# 计算截面因子值
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engine = FactorEngine()
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factor_data = engine.compute_cross_section(data, ["momentum_20d", "volatility_20d"])
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# factor_data 格式: columns=[date, code, momentum_20d, volatility_20d]
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# 预处理
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clean = preprocess(factor_data, ["momentum_20d", "volatility_20d"])
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# 构造远期收益(5 日收益率,对齐到因子日期)
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return_data = engine.compute_forward_returns(data, period=5)
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# return_data 格式: columns=[date, code, forward_5d]
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# 因子分析
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analyzer = FactorAnalyzer(clean, return_data, n_quantiles=5)
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report = analyzer.full_report()
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print(f"IC均值={report.ic_mean:.3f}, IR={report.ir:.3f}")
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# ── 多因子选股 + 组合回测 ──
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from easy_tdx.portfolio import RebalanceEngine, FactorWeightedOptimizer
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optimizer = FactorWeightedOptimizer()
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rebalancer = RebalanceEngine(optimizer=optimizer, factor_name="momentum_20d", n_stocks=50)
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result = rebalancer.run(data, start_date=20230101, end_date=20240101)
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print(f"年化收益={result.performance['annual_return']:.2%}")
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```
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## 8. 交付节奏
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||
| 版本 | 内容 | 独立价值 |
|
||
|------|------|----------|
|
||
| **v1.11.0** | `factor/base` + `factor/engine` + `factor/builtin/`(15 个因子) + CLI `easy-tdx factor list` | 能计算和列举因子 |
|
||
| **v1.12.0** | `factor/transform` + `factor/analysis` + CLI `easy-tdx factor analyze` | 能评估因子好坏 |
|
||
| **v1.13.0** | `portfolio/` 全模块 + CLI `easy-tdx portfolio backtest` | 能用因子构建组合并回测 |
|
||
|
||
## 9. 测试策略
|
||
|
||
```
|
||
tests/unit/
|
||
├── test_factor_base.py # Factor 基类、注册表
|
||
├── test_factor_engine.py # FactorEngine 计算引擎
|
||
├── test_factor_builtin.py # 每个内置因子的正确性
|
||
├── test_factor_transform.py # 预处理管道
|
||
├── test_factor_analysis.py # IC/分层/衰减
|
||
├── test_portfolio_optimizer.py # 各优化器
|
||
├── test_portfolio_risk.py # 风险模型
|
||
└── test_portfolio_rebalance.py # 再平衡回测
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
**全部离线可测**:用 `np.random` 生成的价格数据 + fixture 验证,不依赖网络。
|
||
|
||
## 10. 后续扩展(方案 B 预留)
|
||
|
||
本设计为方案 B(高级回测增强)预留了以下接口:
|
||
|
||
- `factor/analysis.py` 的 `FactorReport` 可直接用于回测归因
|
||
- `portfolio/rebalance.py` 的 `RebalanceResult` 可接入增强的 `BacktestEngine`
|
||
- 后续可添加:滑点建模(方根模型/市场冲击)、执行仿真(TWAP/VWAP)、归因分析
|